again, it is proven that I know nothing about football. According to bookmakers - who make their money assessing odds - most likely to win their game are:
Holland (1.5 to 1)
Brazil (1.87)
Argentina (2.15)
Germany (2.45)
France (3.1)
Belgium (3.7)
Colombia (4.3)
Costa Rica (7.2)
Maybe I should just "invest" some money in Colombia as I think their chances are much better than what the bookies say...
Specifically for Argentina, they are 1.54/1 to qualify, Belgium is at 2.48/1. Am I correct when I say that this implies that if the match is played 8 times, Argentina is expected to advance 5 times and Belgium 3 times? I could live with those odds :-D
As for Brasil: it is a pitty that this aura hangs about them. They have a really good team regardless of official assistance. In their place, I'd much rather become world champion without help than with. But, I'm not gonna lie: I'd much rather win the WC with help than go without help and lose...
By the way, Brasil isn't the only country. France is the same. In their 1/8 final, there was a very clear red card foul on a Nigerian player. No doubt in my mind that if the Nigerian had committed the foul, he'd've been sent off... And I will never forget the shameful way in which they where pushed towards the 2010 WC. Ireland should've qualified, not France, coz even the blind guy at the other end of the stadium saw that Henry committed "hands" before scoring the qualifying goal...
Still, this only influences odds. The other team can still win. Look at Spain: they got a free penalty vs Holland, but still lost 1-5 :-D |